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Mariano Dedura Palomero vs Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski — Prediction

Challenger Hard Hamburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

2.32  /  1.55

Market probability

40.05%  /  59.95%

Why This Prediction?

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1509 vs 1404), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1489 vs 1431) and fewer double faults per game (0.16 vs 0.47).

Player Comparison

1403.6 Elo 1509.1
1431.2 Elo (surface) 1489.1
0 Wins (Challenger) 5
0 Wins (surface) 2
0 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.652 Dominance ratio 0.752
2153 Rank 636
20.7 Age 21.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mariano Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mariano Dedura Palomero Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

66.4%
63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%
67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

35.2%
49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%
28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%
51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.73
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mariano Dedura Palomero Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

55.9%
59.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%
30.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mariano Dedura Palomero 00 Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski

Hard Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-09
6-4 5-7 6-3
3 Aces 5
4 Double Faults 6
87 Service Points 99
61 First Serve In 72
39 First Serve Won 50
14 Second Serve Won 13
4 Break Points Saved 4
8 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Mariano Dedura Palomero — Last 4

L L L L

Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski — Last 10

L L L W W L W L W W