ATP tennis predict — Marek Gengel vs Tristan Schoolkate

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Marek Gengel

Czech Republic

24.71%

Tristan Schoolkate

Australia

75.29%

Average Odds

3.70 / 1.25

Market probability

25.25% / 74.75%

Why This Prediction?

Tristan Schoolkate is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1760 vs 1580), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1719 vs 1578) and a stronger serve (63.5% vs 54.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1580.3 Elo 1759.9

1578.4 Elo (surface) 1718.6

72 Wins (Challenger) 118

63 Wins (surface) 99

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.046 Dominance ratio 1.009

400 Rank 165

31.0 Age 25.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marek Gengel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Tristan Schoolkate

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marek Gengel Tristan Schoolkate

1st Serve In %

63.3%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.5%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.7%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.3%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.1%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.3%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.71

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marek Gengel Tristan Schoolkate

Break Points Saved %

49.3%

54.9%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.8%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.0%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marek Gengel 0 – 1 Tristan Schoolkate

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-16

1. round

Tristan Schoolkate #165

Marek Gengel #400

6-1 6-3

1 Aces 16

0 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

14 First Serve Won 24

7 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 0

7 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.7

Hard Brisbane 1 CH · 2025-01-27

F

Tristan Schoolkate #147

Marek Gengel #254

7-6(3) 7-6(4)

19 Aces 7

5 Double Faults 4

89 Service Points 87

55 First Serve In 62

46 First Serve Won 48

15 Second Serve Won 9

5 Break Points Saved 5

6 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Marek Gengel vs Tristan Schoolkate — Prediction