ATP tennis predict — Marcus Walters vs Matt Ponchet

Challenger — Roehampton challenger · None 11:30

Predicted probability

Marcus Walters

Great Britain

55.34%

Matt Ponchet

France

44.66%

Average Odds

1.73 / 2.01

Market probability

53.74% / 46.26%

Why This Prediction?

Marcus Walters is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1524 vs 1421) and more career match wins (6 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1523.8 Elo 1421.0

- Elo (surface) -

6 Wins (Challenger) 1

- Wins (surface) -

6 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.782 Dominance ratio 0.874

953 Rank 784

28.4 Age 22.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marcus Walters

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Matt Ponchet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marcus Walters Matt Ponchet

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

66.6%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.1%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

42.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marcus Walters Matt Ponchet

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.6%

18.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marcus Walters 0 – 0 Matt Ponchet

— Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-16

None

Marcus Walters #966

Matt Ponchet #784

7-6 7-6

6 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 5

76 Service Points 82

53 First Serve In 38

41 First Serve Won 30

18 Second Serve Won 26

2 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Marcus Walters vs Matt Ponchet — Prediction