ATP tennis predict — Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

ATP Hard Montreal · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Marcos Giron

USA

65.58%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Spain

34.42%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.67

Market probability

64.96% / 35.04%

Why This Prediction?

Marcos Giron is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1667 vs 1542), a higher Elo rating (1689 vs 1592) and more wins on hard courts (139 vs 9).

Player Comparison

1689.4 Elo 1592.2

1666.7 Elo (surface) 1541.6

196 Wins 34

139 Wins (surface) 9

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.207 Dominance ratio 1.355

85 Rank 129

33.0 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marcos Giron

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marcos Giron Pablo Llamas Ruiz

1st Serve In %

61.8%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.08

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marcos Giron Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

63.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.1%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marcos Giron 0 – 0 Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-01

qualification - 1. round

Marcos Giron #85

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #129

2-6 6-3 6-1

4 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 2

82 Service Points 70

45 First Serve In 41

27 First Serve Won 27

19 Second Serve Won 11

6 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Marcos Giron vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz — Prediction