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Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewitt — Prediction

ATP Hard Washington · 1. round

Predicted probability

Marcos Giron

USA

62.55%

Cruz Hewitt

Australia

37.45%

Average Odds

1.08  /  7.95

Market probability

88.04%  /  11.96%

Why This Prediction?

Marcos Giron is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1703 vs 1553), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1682 vs 1558) and fewer double faults per game (0.06 vs 0.24).

Player Comparison

1703.2 Elo 1553.4
1681.5 Elo (surface) 1557.8
196 Wins 2
139 Wins (surface) 2
8 Last 15 form 2
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.122 Dominance ratio 0.896
85 Rank 612
33.0 Age 17.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marcos Giron

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Cruz Hewitt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marcos Giron Cruz Hewitt

1st Serve In %

61.8%
59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%
63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%
44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%
26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%
50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%
58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%
73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%
53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%
29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%
46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marcos Giron Cruz Hewitt

Break Points Saved %

61.0%
56.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%
39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.1%
65.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%
43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marcos Giron 00 Cruz Hewitt

Hard Washington · 2026-07-28
6-3 6-4
4 Aces 5
5 Double Faults 5
66 Service Points 54
42 First Serve In 35
27 First Serve Won 29
12 Second Serve Won 12
4 Break Points Saved 0
6 Break Points Faced 0
11 Winners 15
32 Unforced Errors 24
8.0 Average Odds 1.1

Marcos Giron — Last 10

L L L L W L W W L W

Cruz Hewitt — Last 10

L W W L W W L W L W