ATP tennis predict — Marcos Giron vs Aryan Shah

ATP Hard Washington · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Marcos Giron

USA

76.57%

Aryan Shah

India

23.43%

Average Odds

1.03 / 11.52

Market probability

91.79% / 8.21%

Why This Prediction?

Marcos Giron is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1690 vs 1438), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1666 vs 1465) and a stronger return game (40.2% vs 32.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1690.3 Elo 1437.8

1665.7 Elo (surface) 1464.9

194 Wins 0

137 Wins (surface) 0

6 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.011 Dominance ratio 1.011

85 Rank 729

33.0 Age 20.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marcos Giron

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Aryan Shah

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marcos Giron Aryan Shah

1st Serve In %

61.8%

65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%

68.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%

21.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

31.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

54.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marcos Giron Aryan Shah

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.1%

54.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marcos Giron 0 – 0 Aryan Shah

Hard Washington · 2026-07-25

qualification - 1. round

Marcos Giron #85

Aryan Shah #729

7-5 6-4

9 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 4

56 Service Points 72

37 First Serve In 47

29 First Serve Won 32

13 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 11.5

Marcos Giron vs Aryan Shah — Prediction