ATP tennis predict — Marcos Giron vs Andre Ilagan

ATP Hard Washington · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Marcos Giron

USA

53.72%

Andre Ilagan

USA

46.28%

Average Odds

1.15 / 4.93

Market probability

81.09% / 18.91%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1694.1 Elo 1669.8

1671.0 Elo (surface) 1653.9

195 Wins 1

138 Wins (surface) 1

7 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.062 Dominance ratio 1.006

85 Rank 248

33.0 Age 25.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marcos Giron

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marcos Giron Andre Ilagan

1st Serve In %

61.8%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.73

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marcos Giron Andre Ilagan

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.1%

53.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marcos Giron 0 – 0 Andre Ilagan

Hard Washington · 2026-07-26

qualification - round of 16

Marcos Giron #42

Andre Ilagan #303

6-3 7-6

3 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 2

67 Service Points 82

41 First Serve In 48

30 First Serve Won 26

16 Second Serve Won 18

4 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 4.9

Marcos Giron vs Andre Ilagan — Prediction