ATP tennis predict — Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Marco Trungelliti

Argentina

70.25%

Milos Karol

Slovakia

29.75%

Average Odds

1.12 / 5.00

Market probability

81.70% / 18.30%

Why This Prediction?

Marco Trungelliti is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1807 vs 1612), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1805 vs 1589) and more wins on clay courts (74 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1806.8 Elo 1611.6

1804.9 Elo (surface) 1588.6

299 Wins (Challenger) 53

244 Wins (surface) 27

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.325 Dominance ratio 0.955

90 Rank 583

36.7 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marco Trungelliti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Milos Karol

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Trungelliti Milos Karol

1st Serve In %

56.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.47

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.3%

77.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.3%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.4%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Trungelliti Milos Karol

Break Points Saved %

62.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

46.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.9%

51.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.8%

28.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marco Trungelliti and Milos Karol have never played each other.

Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol — Prediction