ATP tennis predict — Marco Cecchinato vs Pedro Vives Marcos

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Marco Cecchinato

Italy

57.81%

Pedro Vives Marcos

Spain

42.19%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.62

Market probability

64.53% / 35.47%

Why This Prediction?

Marco Cecchinato is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (310 vs 10), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1737 vs 1677) and a higher Elo rating (1743 vs 1665).

Player Comparison

1743.5 Elo 1665.5

1737.2 Elo (surface) 1676.6

313 Wins (Challenger) 22

310 Wins (surface) 10

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.986 Dominance ratio 1.057

163 Rank 542

34.0 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marco Cecchinato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–4L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Pedro Vives Marcos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Pedro Vives Marcos

1st Serve In %

63.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.24

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

31.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Pedro Vives Marcos

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

37.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.1%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

48.5%

38.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marco Cecchinato and Pedro Vives Marcos have never played each other.

Marco Cecchinato vs Pedro Vives Marcos — Prediction