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Marco Cecchinato vs Olle Wallin — Prediction

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Marco Cecchinato

Italy

54.31%

Olle Wallin

Sweden

45.69%

Average Odds

1.39  /  2.82

Market probability

66.98%  /  33.02%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1753.8 Elo 1669.7
1747.7 Elo (surface) 1682.2
313 Wins (Challenger) 33
310 Wins (surface) 27
9 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.986 Dominance ratio 1.055
163 Rank 423
34.0 Age None
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marco Cecchinato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Olle Wallin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Olle Wallin

1st Serve In %

63.4%
62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%
68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%
55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%
26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%
41.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.24
0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%
60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%
70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%
48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%
34.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%
51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.19
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Olle Wallin

Break Points Saved %

65.4%
38.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.1%
45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.3%
54.2%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%
39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marco Cecchinato and Olle Wallin have never played each other.

Marco Cecchinato — Last 10

L W W L L W L W L W

Olle Wallin — Last 10

W W L L W W L W W L