ATP tennis predict — Marco Cecchinato vs Marco Trungelliti

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · QF 15:00

Predicted probability

Marco Cecchinato

Italy

47.67%

Marco Trungelliti

Argentina

52.33%

Average Odds

2.29 / 1.57

Market probability

40.67% / 59.33%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1761.1 Elo 1807.1

1755.5 Elo (surface) 1798.3

313 Wins (Challenger) 297

310 Wins (surface) 242

10 Last 15 form 12

3 Head-to-head wins 2

0.986 Dominance ratio 1.325

163 Rank 99

34.0 Age 36.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marco Cecchinato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Marco Trungelliti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Marco Trungelliti

1st Serve In %

63.4%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

66.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

38.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Marco Trungelliti

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.1%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.3%

63.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marco Cecchinato 3 – 2 Marco Trungelliti

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-18

QF

Marco Trungelliti #99

Marco Cecchinato #163

7-6 7-5

2 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

42 First Serve Won 45

9 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Clay Kigali 2 CH · 2026-03-09

F

Marco Trungelliti #132

Marco Cecchinato #225

4-6 6-0 6-3

0 Aces 7

4 Double Faults 4

66 Service Points 84

44 First Serve In 42

36 First Serve Won 25

10 Second Serve Won 19

1 Break Points Saved 8

3 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Montevideo CH · 2022-11-07

R32

Marco Trungelliti #232

Marco Cecchinato #101

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 2

6 Double Faults 0

69 Service Points 68

30 First Serve In 49

22 First Serve Won 27

15 Second Serve Won 4

4 Break Points Saved 6

9 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Umag · 2018-07-16

SF

Marco Cecchinato #27

Marco Trungelliti #188

6-2 6-1

0 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 4

63 Service Points 38

45 First Serve In 21

31 First Serve Won 11

9 Second Serve Won 4

4 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Roland Garros · 2018-05-28

R64

Marco Cecchinato #72

Marco Trungelliti #190

6-1 7-6(1) 6-1

3 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 4

87 Service Points 104

64 First Serve In 63

47 First Serve Won 33

11 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 13

6 Break Points Faced 20

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Ostrava CH · 2017-05-01

QF

Marco Cecchinato #151

Marco Trungelliti #164

7-6(2) 6-3

3 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 3

67 Service Points 108

42 First Serve In 59

28 First Serve Won 34

14 Second Serve Won 20

3 Break Points Saved 13

6 Break Points Faced 18

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Marco Cecchinato vs Marco Trungelliti — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Marco Cecchinato — Last 10

Marco Trungelliti — Last 10