ATP tennis predict — Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broady

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Marco Cecchinato

Italy

45.04%

Liam Broady

Great Britain

54.96%

Average Odds

3.24 / 1.33

Market probability

29.10% / 70.90%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1722.6 Elo 1591.0

1477.1 Elo (surface) 1588.3

157 Wins 77

23 Wins (surface) 47

4 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.139 Dominance ratio 0.732

173 Rank 201

33.9 Age 32.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marco Cecchinato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Liam Broady

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Liam Broady

1st Serve In %

63.4%

51.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

22.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.64

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

52.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Liam Broady

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.1%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.3%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%

36.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marco Cecchinato 0 – 1 Liam Broady

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Marco Cecchinato #166

Liam Broady #197

7-6 6-3

5 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 4

90 Service Points 82

57 First Serve In 47

40 First Serve Won 34

21 Second Serve Won 19

7 Break Points Saved 10

7 Break Points Faced 11

24 Winners 22

25 Unforced Errors 36

3.2 Average Odds 1.3

Grass Wimbledon · 2021-06-28

R128

Liam Broady #143

Marco Cecchinato #86

6-3 6-4 6-0

8 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 5

89 Service Points 73

67 First Serve In 45

50 First Serve Won 26

12 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broady — Prediction