ATP tennis predict — Marco Cecchinato vs Juan Bautista Torres

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · QF 17:30

Predicted probability

Marco Cecchinato

Italy

68.31%

Juan Bautista Torres

Argentina

31.69%

Average Odds

1.31 / 3.25

Market probability

71.27% / 28.73%

Why This Prediction?

Marco Cecchinato is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1739 vs 1591), a higher Elo rating (1729 vs 1573) and a stronger serve (62.9% vs 57.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1728.9 Elo 1573.1

1738.9 Elo (surface) 1591.2

309 Wins (Challenger) 146

306 Wins (surface) 144

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.985 Dominance ratio 0.968

170 Rank 266

33.9 Age 24.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marco Cecchinato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Juan Bautista Torres

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Juan Bautista Torres

1st Serve In %

63.4%

71.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

62.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Juan Bautista Torres

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.1%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.3%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%

57.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marco Cecchinato 0 – 1 Juan Bautista Torres

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-14

QF

Marco Cecchinato #170

Juan Bautista Torres #266

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 0

52 Service Points 62

35 First Serve In 51

24 First Serve Won 26

8 Second Serve Won 6

1 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.2

Clay Rosario CH · 2025-02-03

Q2

Juan Bautista Torres #277

Marco Cecchinato #406

7-6(3) 7-5

9 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 2

77 Service Points 92

53 First Serve In 54

40 First Serve Won 33

9 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Marco Cecchinato vs Juan Bautista Torres — Prediction