ATP tennis predict — Marco Cecchinato vs Henri Squire

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Marco Cecchinato

Italy

55.77%

Henri Squire

Germany

44.23%

Average Odds

1.49 / 2.50

Market probability

62.66% / 37.34%

Why This Prediction?

Marco Cecchinato is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1739 vs 1685), a higher Elo rating (1746 vs 1673) and a stronger serve (66.5% vs 60.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1746.1 Elo 1672.8

1738.9 Elo (surface) 1685.4

311 Wins (Challenger) 145

308 Wins (surface) 85

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.986 Dominance ratio 1.189

163 Rank 238

34.0 Age 26.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marco Cecchinato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Henri Squire

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Henri Squire

1st Serve In %

63.4%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

36.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

57.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Henri Squire

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

54.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.1%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.3%

62.0%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%

39.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marco Cecchinato 0 – 0 Henri Squire

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Marco Cecchinato #163

Henri Squire #238

7-5 6-3

3 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 8

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

35 First Serve Won 31

13 Second Serve Won 3

8 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Marco Cecchinato vs Henri Squire — Prediction