ATP tennis predict — Marco Cecchinato vs Franco Agamenone

Challenger Clay San Marino challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Marco Cecchinato

Italy

74.66%

Franco Agamenone

Italy

25.34%

Average Odds

1.36 / 2.99

Market probability

68.74% / 31.26%

Why This Prediction?

Marco Cecchinato is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1723 vs 1592), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1733 vs 1593) and a stronger serve (66.6% vs 54.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1722.8 Elo 1592.0

1732.9 Elo (surface) 1593.5

306 Wins (Challenger) 152

303 Wins (surface) 139

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 2

0.886 Dominance ratio 0.937

174 Rank 265

33.8 Age 33.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marco Cecchinato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Franco Agamenone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Franco Agamenone

1st Serve In %

63.4%

72.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

60.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%

46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

63.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

54.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marco Cecchinato Franco Agamenone

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.1%

25.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.3%

58.4%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%

47.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marco Cecchinato 0 – 2 Franco Agamenone

Clay San Marino challenger · 2026-07-28

1. round

Marco Cecchinato #174

Franco Agamenone #265

6-3 6-4

0 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 1

75 Service Points 59

50 First Serve In 44

36 First Serve Won 25

14 Second Serve Won 11

6 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Clay Francavilla Al Mare CH · 2024-05-06

R16

Franco Agamenone #234

Marco Cecchinato #328

7-6(9) 2-6 6-4

2 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 2

115 Service Points 116

90 First Serve In 89

56 First Serve Won 56

10 Second Serve Won 16

7 Break Points Saved 8

11 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Umag · 2022-07-25

QF

Franco Agamenone #136

Marco Cecchinato #151

6-2 6-1

1 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 4

40 Service Points 55

29 First Serve In 30

23 First Serve Won 16

8 Second Serve Won 9

2 Break Points Saved 8

2 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Marco Cecchinato vs Franco Agamenone — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Marco Cecchinato — Last 10

Franco Agamenone — Last 10