ATP tennis predict — Marat Sharipov vs Taro Daniel

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · R16 10:40

Predicted probability

Marat Sharipov

Russia

47.87%

Taro Daniel

Japan

52.13%

Average Odds

2.56 / 1.48

Market probability

36.63% / 63.37%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1700.3 Elo 1801.3

1695.3 Elo (surface) 1676.3

51 Wins (Challenger) 246

42 Wins (surface) 122

10 Last 15 form 13

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.005 Dominance ratio 0.824

442 Rank 160

23.9 Age 33.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marat Sharipov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Taro Daniel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marat Sharipov Taro Daniel

1st Serve In %

52.3%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

62.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.9%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

14.3%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.0%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

81.5%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.2%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.6%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marat Sharipov Taro Daniel

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

54.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marat Sharipov 1 – 0 Taro Daniel

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-09

R16

Marat Sharipov #442

Taro Daniel #160

7-5 7-6

14 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

41 First Serve Won 30

13 Second Serve Won 21

1 Break Points Saved 6

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.5

Hard Guangzhou Huangpu CH · 2025-09-08

R32

Marat Sharipov #265

Taro Daniel #168

7-6(5) 1-6 6-4

14 Aces 12

5 Double Faults 1

91 Service Points 94

50 First Serve In 58

41 First Serve Won 46

21 Second Serve Won 20

4 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Marat Sharipov vs Taro Daniel — Prediction