ATP tennis predict — Marat Sharipov vs Petr Bar Biryukov

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · SF 11:30

Predicted probability

Marat Sharipov

Russia

67.89%

Petr Bar Biryukov

Russia

32.11%

Average Odds

1.22 / 4.01

Market probability

76.67% / 23.33%

Why This Prediction?

Marat Sharipov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1787 vs 1592), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1783 vs 1646) and more career match wins (57 vs 54).

Player Comparison

1787.2 Elo 1591.6

1782.8 Elo (surface) 1645.9

57 Wins (Challenger) 54

48 Wins (surface) 52

11 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.005 Dominance ratio 1.423

364 Rank 299

24.0 Age 24.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marat Sharipov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Petr Bar Biryukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marat Sharipov Petr Bar Biryukov

1st Serve In %

52.3%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

76.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.9%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

14.3%

13.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

26.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

1.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.0%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

81.5%

75.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

66.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.2%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.6%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marat Sharipov Petr Bar Biryukov

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

82.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

64.5%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marat Sharipov 0 – 0 Petr Bar Biryukov

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-19

SF

Marat Sharipov #364

Petr Bar Biryukov #299

7-5 6-3

12 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 29

17 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Marat Sharipov vs Petr Bar Biryukov — Prediction