ATP tennis predict — Marat Sharipov vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · qualification - round of 16 04:00

Predicted probability

Marat Sharipov

Russia

72.06%

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Malaysia

27.94%

Average Odds

- / -

Market probability

- / -

Why This Prediction?

Marat Sharipov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1816 vs 1628), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1820 vs 1643) and a stronger serve (65.8% vs 56.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1815.7 Elo 1628.1

1819.5 Elo (surface) 1643.4

59 Wins (Challenger) 40

50 Wins (surface) 40

12 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.005 Dominance ratio 0.756

238 Rank 419

24.0 Age 22.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marat Sharipov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marat Sharipov Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

1st Serve In %

52.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

14.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.40

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.0%

70.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

81.5%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.2%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.6%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marat Sharipov Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

52.7%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

46.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marat Sharipov and Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong have never played each other.

Marat Sharipov vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong — Prediction