ATP tennis predict — Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Marat Sharipov

Russia

26.10%

Lloyd Harris

RSA

73.90%

Average Odds

2.89 / 1.38

Market probability

32.32% / 67.68%

Why This Prediction?

Lloyd Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1898 vs 1744), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1864 vs 1739) and more wins on hard courts (104 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1743.7 Elo 1897.8

1738.5 Elo (surface) 1864.4

55 Wins (Challenger) 149

46 Wins (surface) 120

11 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.005 Dominance ratio 0.999

364 Rank 138

23.9 Age 29.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marat Sharipov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marat Sharipov Lloyd Harris

1st Serve In %

52.3%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.9%

57.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

14.3%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.83

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.0%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

81.5%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.2%

24.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.6%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marat Sharipov Lloyd Harris

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

—

43.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

64.4%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marat Sharipov 0 – 0 Lloyd Harris

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

Marat Sharipov #364

Lloyd Harris #138

4-6 7-6 6-3

17 Aces 10

0 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

44 First Serve Won 56

20 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris — Prediction