ATP tennis predict — Marat Sharipov vs Jake Delaney

Challenger Hard Jinan challenger · qualification - round of 16 07:30

Predicted probability

Marat Sharipov

Russia

81.85%

Jake Delaney

Australia

18.15%

Average Odds

1.20 / 4.12

Market probability

77.44% / 22.56%

Why This Prediction?

Marat Sharipov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1798 vs 1451), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1797 vs 1457) and more wins on hard courts (54 vs 31).

Player Comparison

1797.8 Elo 1451.3

1796.7 Elo (surface) 1457.0

63 Wins (Challenger) 31

54 Wins (surface) 31

12 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.005 Dominance ratio 0.955

234 Rank 357

24.0 Age 29.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marat Sharipov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Jake Delaney

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-09-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marat Sharipov Jake Delaney

1st Serve In %

52.3%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.9%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

14.3%

22.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.96

0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marat Sharipov Jake Delaney

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

65.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.8%

71.0%

Break Points Converted %

29.3%

32.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marat Sharipov and Jake Delaney have never played each other.

Marat Sharipov vs Jake Delaney — Prediction