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Marat Sharipov vs Dalibor Svrcina — Prediction

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · 1. round 06:20

Predicted probability

Marat Sharipov

Russia

51.78%

Dalibor Svrcina

Czech Republic

48.22%

Average Odds

1.86  /  1.85

Market probability

49.87%  /  50.13%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1833.0 Elo 1823.1
1839.1 Elo (surface) 1798.4
61 Wins (Challenger) 136
52 Wins (surface) 50
13 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.005 Dominance ratio 0.877
238 Rank 124
24.0 Age 24.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marat Sharipov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 6W–1L · 85.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Dalibor Svrcina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marat Sharipov Dalibor Svrcina

1st Serve In %

52.3%
55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%
70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.9%
43.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

14.3%
36.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%
56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.40
0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.50
0.54

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—
55.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.88
0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marat Sharipov Dalibor Svrcina

Break Points Saved %

62.5%
56.3%

Break Points Converted %

—
46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.3%
52.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.5%
42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marat Sharipov 0 – 0 Dalibor Svrcina

Hard Jingshan challenger · 2026-09-30
3-6 6-3 6-1
15 Aces 5
4 Double Faults 4
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
34 First Serve Won 36
15 Second Serve Won 13
6 Break Points Saved 7
9 Break Points Faced 12
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Marat Sharipov — Last 10

W W W W W W W W L W

Dalibor Svrcina — Last 10

L L W W L W W W W L