ATP tennis predict — Manuel Mazza vs Niels Visker

Challenger Clay San Marino challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Manuel Mazza

Italy

29.58%

Niels Visker

Netherlands

70.42%

Average Odds

2.22 / 1.60

Market probability

41.88% / 58.12%

Why This Prediction?

Niels Visker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1537 vs 1411), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1560 vs 1412) and more career match wins (30 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1411.5 Elo 1537.2

1411.9 Elo (surface) 1559.9

6 Wins (Challenger) 30

6 Wins (surface) 9

4 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.954 Dominance ratio 0.954

758 Rank 439

27.3 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Manuel Mazza

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Niels Visker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Manuel Mazza Niels Visker

1st Serve In %

—

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

18.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.8%

57.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.9%

77.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.7%

54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Manuel Mazza Niels Visker

Break Points Saved %

—

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.9%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Manuel Mazza 0 – 0 Niels Visker

Clay San Marino challenger · 2026-07-26

qualification - 1. round

Manuel Mazza #772

Niels Visker #345

6-3 7-6

5 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 5

68 Service Points 85

51 First Serve In 32

37 First Serve Won 25

13 Second Serve Won 27

2 Break Points Saved 7

2 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Manuel Mazza vs Niels Visker — Prediction