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Manas Dhamne vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra — Prediction

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.14  /  5.08

Market probability

81.67%  /  18.33%

Why This Prediction?

Manas Dhamne is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1441 vs 1348), more career match wins (22 vs 2) and fewer double faults per game (0.13 vs 0.22).

Player Comparison

1441.3 Elo 1347.6
1450.3 Elo (surface) 1433.8
22 Wins (Challenger) 2
9 Wins (surface) 0
5 Last 15 form 2
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.828 Dominance ratio 1.022
381 Rank 879
18.7 Age None
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Manas Dhamne

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Manas Dhamne William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

1st Serve In %

63.1%
62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%
69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%
58.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%
27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%
38.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.04
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%
56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%
67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%
52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%
31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%
48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.29
0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.45

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Manas Dhamne William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Break Points Saved %

48.3%
61.9%

Break Points Converted %

45.0%
28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.4%
39.1%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%
38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Manas Dhamne 00 William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Manas Dhamne #381

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra #879

3-6 6-1 6-3
4 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 1
68 Service Points 74
42 First Serve In 38
32 First Serve Won 25
18 Second Serve Won 19
2 Break Points Saved 1
3 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 5.1

Manas Dhamne — Last 10

L W W L L W L L W W

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra — Last 10

L L L L W W L L L L