ATP tennis predict — Manas Dhamne vs Vadym Ursu

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · 1. round 07:10

Predicted probability

Manas Dhamne

India

68.96%

Vadym Ursu

Ukraine

31.04%

Average Odds

1.49 / 2.48

Market probability

62.47% / 37.53%

Why This Prediction?

Manas Dhamne is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1465 vs 1408), fewer double faults per game (0.05 vs 0.38) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1473 vs 1444).

Player Comparison

1465.1 Elo 1407.8

1473.0 Elo (surface) 1443.8

21 Wins (Challenger) 43

8 Wins (surface) 36

6 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.903 Dominance ratio 0.845

362 Rank 401

18.6 Age 29.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Manas Dhamne

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Vadym Ursu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Manas Dhamne Vadym Ursu

1st Serve In %

63.1%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

59.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

37.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

42.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.04

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.70

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%

41.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Manas Dhamne Vadym Ursu

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

48.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.0%

16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

49.2%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Manas Dhamne 0 – 0 Vadym Ursu

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Manas Dhamne #362

Vadym Ursu #401

6-4 7-6

4 Aces 1

6 Double Faults 4

69 Service Points 79

37 First Serve In 47

24 First Serve Won 35

16 Second Serve Won 14

1 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Manas Dhamne vs Vadym Ursu — Prediction