ATP tennis predict — Manas Dhamne vs Daniel Rincon

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Manas Dhamne

India

36.52%

Daniel Rincon

Spain

63.48%

Average Odds

2.97 / 1.36

Market probability

31.41% / 68.59%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Rincon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1685 vs 1489), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1625 vs 1523) and a stronger serve (63.7% vs 57.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1489.1 Elo 1685.2

1522.6 Elo (surface) 1624.7

24 Wins (Challenger) 106

11 Wins (surface) 30

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.901 Dominance ratio 1.035

381 Rank 208

18.7 Age 23.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Manas Dhamne

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Daniel Rincon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Manas Dhamne Daniel Rincon

1st Serve In %

63.1%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.04

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Manas Dhamne Daniel Rincon

Break Points Saved %

48.3%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.0%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Manas Dhamne 0 – 0 Daniel Rincon

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Daniel Rincon #208

Manas Dhamne #381

6-3 6-4

1 Aces 11

3 Double Faults 0

66 Service Points 68

40 First Serve In 40

22 First Serve Won 29

15 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 5

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Manas Dhamne vs Daniel Rincon — Prediction