ATP tennis predict — Maks Kasnikowski vs Louis Wessels

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Maks Kasnikowski

Poland

71.00%

Louis Wessels

Germany

29.00%

Average Odds

1.20 / 4.23

Market probability

77.90% / 22.10%

Why This Prediction?

Maks Kasnikowski is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1652 vs 1536), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1632 vs 1547) and a stronger serve (67.9% vs 60.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1651.6 Elo 1535.6

1632.1 Elo (surface) 1546.5

102 Wins (Challenger) 53

40 Wins (surface) 38

9 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.153 Dominance ratio 0.920

247 Rank 539

23.0 Age 27.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maks Kasnikowski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Louis Wessels

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maks Kasnikowski Louis Wessels

1st Serve In %

59.8%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.4%

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

21.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

41.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maks Kasnikowski Louis Wessels

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

29.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

45.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

29.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maks Kasnikowski 0 – 0 Louis Wessels

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Maks Kasnikowski #247

Louis Wessels #539

6-2 6-1

4 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 2

41 Service Points 50

25 First Serve In 27

19 First Serve Won 15

11 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.2

Maks Kasnikowski vs Louis Wessels — Prediction