ATP tennis predict — Maks Kasnikowski vs Hynek Barton

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Maks Kasnikowski

Poland

47.02%

Hynek Barton

Czech Republic

52.98%

Average Odds

1.88 / 1.85

Market probability

49.60% / 50.40%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1669.7 Elo 1688.6

1660.8 Elo (surface) 1687.4

104 Wins (Challenger) 99

42 Wins (surface) 72

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.085 Dominance ratio 1.084

247 Rank 249

23.0 Age 22.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maks Kasnikowski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Hynek Barton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maks Kasnikowski Hynek Barton

1st Serve In %

59.8%

53.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.4%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

59.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maks Kasnikowski Hynek Barton

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

52.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maks Kasnikowski 0 – 0 Hynek Barton

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-24

QF

Maks Kasnikowski #247

Hynek Barton #249

5-7 6-4 7-5

4 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 2

111 Service Points 111

68 First Serve In 69

48 First Serve Won 45

22 Second Serve Won 19

5 Break Points Saved 7

9 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Maks Kasnikowski vs Hynek Barton — Prediction