ATP tennis predict — Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Maks Kasnikowski

Poland

71.00%

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Portugal

29.00%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.79

Market probability

66.59% / 33.41%

Why This Prediction?

Maks Kasnikowski is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1675 vs 1534), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1656 vs 1539) and a stronger serve (66.6% vs 64.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1674.9 Elo 1534.0

1656.2 Elo (surface) 1538.8

105 Wins (Challenger) 195

43 Wins (surface) 94

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.164 Dominance ratio 1.080

233 Rank 235

23.1 Age 31.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maks Kasnikowski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maks Kasnikowski Frederico Ferreira Silva

1st Serve In %

59.8%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.4%

53.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

44.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maks Kasnikowski Frederico Ferreira Silva

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

47.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

35.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maks Kasnikowski 0 – 0 Frederico Ferreira Silva

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-28

1. round

Frederico Ferreira Silva #235

Maks Kasnikowski #233

6-1 3-6 6-3

3 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 2

85 Service Points 88

45 First Serve In 46

31 First Serve Won 34

20 Second Serve Won 27

4 Break Points Saved 9

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silva — Prediction