ATP tennis predict — Maks Kasnikowski vs Cezar Cretu

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Maks Kasnikowski

Poland

66.38%

Cezar Cretu

Romania

33.62%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.68

Market probability

65.37% / 34.63%

Why This Prediction?

Maks Kasnikowski is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1636 vs 1479), more wins on hard courts (67 vs 0) and a stronger serve (66.2% vs 55.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1685.7 Elo 1687.0

1635.6 Elo (surface) 1478.6

110 Wins (Challenger) 61

67 Wins (surface) 0

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.047 Dominance ratio 1.102

238 Rank 276

23.3 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maks Kasnikowski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–4L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Cezar Cretu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maks Kasnikowski Cezar Cretu

1st Serve In %

59.8%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.4%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

56.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

35.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

56.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maks Kasnikowski Cezar Cretu

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

41.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.1%

54.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maks Kasnikowski and Cezar Cretu have never played each other.

Maks Kasnikowski vs Cezar Cretu — Prediction