ATP tennis predict — Mae Malige vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Mae Malige

France

17.49%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

France

82.51%

Average Odds

3.40 / 1.29

Market probability

27.51% / 72.49%

Why This Prediction?

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1546 vs 1292), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1514 vs 1353) and a stronger serve (63.9% vs 53.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1292.4 Elo 1545.9

1352.8 Elo (surface) 1514.2

13 Wins (Challenger) 58

12 Wins (surface) 38

4 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.780 Dominance ratio 1.063

582 Rank 332

20.4 Age 23.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mae Malige

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mae Malige Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

1st Serve In %

52.3%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

56.5%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.1%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.14

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.9%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mae Malige Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Break Points Saved %

35.7%

66.3%

Break Points Converted %

23.1%

28.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.6%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

54.7%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mae Malige 0 – 0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #332

Mae Malige #582

6-0 6-1

0 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 2

31 Service Points 37

14 First Serve In 19

4 First Serve Won 15

3 Second Serve Won 11

0 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Mae Malige vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — Prediction