ATP tennis predict — Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Trevor Svajda

ATP Hard Washington · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Mackenzie Mcdonald

USA

66.23%

Trevor Svajda

USA

33.77%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.65

Market probability

64.79% / 35.21%

Why This Prediction?

Mackenzie Mcdonald is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1621 vs 1471), a higher Elo rating (1610 vs 1491) and more wins on hard courts (128 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1610.1 Elo 1490.7

1620.7 Elo (surface) 1471.1

180 Wins 2

128 Wins (surface) 2

8 Last 15 form 2

2 Head-to-head wins 0

0.951 Dominance ratio 0.791

140 Rank 435

31.3 Age 20.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Trevor Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mackenzie Mcdonald Trevor Svajda

1st Serve In %

63.7%

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.5%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.4%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

41.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mackenzie Mcdonald Trevor Svajda

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

65.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.8%

32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.8%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.6%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mackenzie Mcdonald 2 – 0 Trevor Svajda

Hard Washington · 2026-07-26

qualification - round of 16

Trevor Svajda #613

Mackenzie Mcdonald #169

6-4 6-4

4 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

66 Service Points 65

43 First Serve In 37

27 First Serve Won 27

9 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Hard Indian Wells Masters · 2026-03-04

Q2

Mackenzie Mcdonald #126

Trevor Svajda #396

6-4 6-2

9 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 4

59 Service Points 57

44 First Serve In 35

33 First Serve Won 23

9 Second Serve Won 10

5 Break Points Saved 8

5 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard San Diego CH · 2025-02-24

QF

Mackenzie Mcdonald #117

Trevor Svajda #669

6-3 6-4

5 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 1

73 Service Points 69

41 First Serve In 37

27 First Serve Won 20

15 Second Serve Won 15

11 Break Points Saved 7

13 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Trevor Svajda — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Mackenzie Mcdonald — Last 10

Trevor Svajda — Last 10