ATP tennis predict — Lukas Pokorny vs Diego Dedura Palomero

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Lukas Pokorny

Slovakia

14.67%

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

85.33%

Average Odds

4.16 / 1.20

Market probability

22.39% / 77.61%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1707 vs 1455), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1749 vs 1502) and a stronger return game (41.1% vs 39.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1454.6 Elo 1706.9

1502.2 Elo (surface) 1748.7

39 Wins (Challenger) 45

14 Wins (surface) 41

9 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.074 Dominance ratio 1.030

614 Rank 190

24.5 Age 18.5

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lukas Pokorny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lukas Pokorny Diego Dedura Palomero

1st Serve In %

56.3%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.3%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

33.3%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%

64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.1%

37.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.05

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lukas Pokorny Diego Dedura Palomero

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

65.5%

Break Points Converted %

100.0%

28.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lukas Pokorny 0 – 0 Diego Dedura Palomero

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Diego Dedura Palomero #190

Lukas Pokorny #614

6-2 5-7 6-0

1 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 1

89 Service Points 73

53 First Serve In 52

33 First Serve Won 37

14 Second Serve Won 12

12 Break Points Saved 0

18 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.2

Lukas Pokorny vs Diego Dedura Palomero — Prediction