ATP tennis predict — Lukas Pokorny vs Andrew Paulson

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Lukas Pokorny

Slovakia

46.30%

Andrew Paulson

Czech Republic

53.70%

Average Odds

2.41 / 1.51

Market probability

38.52% / 61.48%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1433.0 Elo 1443.6

1475.6 Elo (surface) 1451.9

38 Wins (Challenger) 55

13 Wins (surface) 39

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.045 Dominance ratio 1.101

614 Rank 606

24.5 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lukas Pokorny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Andrew Paulson

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lukas Pokorny Andrew Paulson

1st Serve In %

56.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

33.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.69

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%

72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.1%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

53.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lukas Pokorny Andrew Paulson

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

100.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

53.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lukas Pokorny 0 – 0 Andrew Paulson

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Lukas Pokorny #614

Andrew Paulson #606

3-6 6-4 6-3

13 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 5

104 Service Points 86

56 First Serve In 46

42 First Serve Won 35

26 Second Serve Won 23

9 Break Points Saved 5

10 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Lukas Pokorny vs Andrew Paulson — Prediction