ATP tennis predict — Lukas Neumayer vs Stefano Dagostino

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Lukas Neumayer

Austria

76.22%

Stefano Dagostino

Italy

23.78%

Average Odds

1.12 / 5.64

Market probability

83.43% / 16.57%

Why This Prediction?

Lukas Neumayer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1717 vs 1522), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1716 vs 1520) and more career match wins (117 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1717.3 Elo 1522.3

1715.8 Elo (surface) 1520.5

117 Wins (Challenger) 3

107 Wins (surface) 3

9 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.846 Dominance ratio 0.846

183 Rank 755

24.0 Age 22.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lukas Neumayer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Stefano Dagostino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lukas Neumayer Stefano Dagostino

1st Serve In %

62.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.47

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

62.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.23

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lukas Neumayer Stefano Dagostino

Break Points Saved %

63.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lukas Neumayer 0 – 0 Stefano Dagostino

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Lukas Neumayer #183

Stefano Dagostino #755

6-3 7-6

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.6

Lukas Neumayer vs Stefano Dagostino — Prediction