ATP tennis predict — Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Lukas Neumayer

Austria

53.22%

Oliver Crawford

Great Britain

46.78%

Average Odds

2.06 / 1.71

Market probability

45.36% / 54.64%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1651.2 Elo 1609.0

1522.3 Elo (surface) 1621.6

12 Wins 3

3 Wins (surface) 3

4 Last 15 form 3

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.985 Dominance ratio 0.877

171 Rank 227

24.0 Age 27.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lukas Neumayer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Oliver Crawford

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lukas Neumayer Oliver Crawford

1st Serve In %

62.8%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

24.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%

45.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.3%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.3%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lukas Neumayer Oliver Crawford

Break Points Saved %

63.0%

60.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

52.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lukas Neumayer 1 – 0 Oliver Crawford

Clay Tulln CH · 2024-09-02

R16

Lukas Neumayer #320

Oliver Crawford #225

6-4 6-0

4 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 2

52 Service Points 49

33 First Serve In 26

24 First Serve Won 14

13 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 2

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford — Prediction