ATP tennis predict — Lukas Neumayer vs Luka Mikrut

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · QF 10:00

Predicted probability

Lukas Neumayer

Austria

37.88%

Luka Mikrut

Croatia

62.12%

Average Odds

1.95 / 1.40

Market probability

41.79% / 58.21%

Why This Prediction?

Luka Mikrut is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1876 vs 1733), a higher Elo rating (1799 vs 1733) and a stronger serve (64.8% vs 57.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1733.1 Elo 1798.9

1732.8 Elo (surface) 1876.2

119 Wins (Challenger) 62

109 Wins (surface) 55

9 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.846 Dominance ratio 1.032

183 Rank 214

24.0 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lukas Neumayer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Luka Mikrut

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lukas Neumayer Luka Mikrut

1st Serve In %

62.8%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.3%

61.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%

62.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.3%

41.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lukas Neumayer Luka Mikrut

Break Points Saved %

63.0%

55.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

28.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

38.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lukas Neumayer 1 – 0 Luka Mikrut

Hard Canberra CH · 2026-01-05

Q1

Lukas Neumayer #230

Luka Mikrut #160

6-4 3-6 6-3

11 Aces 14

1 Double Faults 1

74 Service Points 88

41 First Serve In 49

34 First Serve Won 40

21 Second Serve Won 18

1 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Lukas Neumayer vs Luka Mikrut — Prediction