ATP tennis predict — Luka Pavlovic vs Ha Minh Duc Vu

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 1. round 05:10

Predicted probability

Luka Pavlovic

France

89.16%

Ha Minh Duc Vu

Viet Nam

10.84%

Average Odds

1.01 / 13.27

Market probability

92.93% / 7.07%

Why This Prediction?

Luka Pavlovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1679 vs 1409), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1673 vs 1409) and more career match wins (56 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1679.4 Elo 1408.7

1673 Elo (surface) 1408.8

56 Wins (Challenger) 0

10 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.898 Dominance ratio 0.484

196 Rank 1689

26.5 Age 23.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luka Pavlovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Ha Minh Duc Vu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luka Pavlovic Ha Minh Duc Vu

1st Serve In %

53.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.84

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.3%

53.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

48.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.3%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.5%

34.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luka Pavlovic Ha Minh Duc Vu

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

29.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

33.3%

Break Points Converted %

31.9%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luka Pavlovic 0 – 0 Ha Minh Duc Vu

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Luka Pavlovic #196

Ha Minh Duc Vu #1689

7-5 6-3

2 Aces 11

4 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

23 First Serve Won 28

17 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 13.3

Luka Pavlovic vs Ha Minh Duc Vu — Prediction