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Luka Mikrut vs Nishesh Basavareddy — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Luka Mikrut

Croatia

46.28%

Average Odds

2.28  /  1.58

Market probability

40.93%  /  59.07%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1683.0 Elo 1711.7
1554.6 Elo (surface) 1498.2
2 Wins 35
1 Wins (surface) 28
2 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.907 Dominance ratio 0.908
176 Rank 163
22.4 Age 21.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luka Mikrut

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luka Mikrut Nishesh Basavareddy

1st Serve In %

59.6%
59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%
71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%
49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%
29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%
45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.41
0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.1%
55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.4%
63.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.2%
48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%
33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.3%
52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.24
0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.45

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luka Mikrut Nishesh Basavareddy

Break Points Saved %

55.2%
59.2%

Break Points Converted %

28.9%
31.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
52.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.3%
43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luka Mikrut 00 Nishesh Basavareddy

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Nishesh Basavareddy #163

Luka Mikrut #176

6-2 6-4
4 Aces 3
6 Double Faults 3
67 Service Points 47
39 First Serve In 26
24 First Serve Won 22
14 Second Serve Won 14
3 Break Points Saved 0
6 Break Points Faced 0
18 Winners 17
21 Unforced Errors 11
1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Luka Mikrut — Last 10

W W L W W W L W L L

Nishesh Basavareddy — Last 10

W L W L W W W L L W