ATP tennis predict — Luka Mikrut vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Luka Mikrut

Croatia

63.38%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Spain

36.62%

Average Odds

1.65 / 2.18

Market probability

56.92% / 43.08%

Why This Prediction?

Luka Mikrut is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1539 vs 1299), a stronger serve (64.8% vs 60.2% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating (1664 vs 1627).

Player Comparison

1663.8 Elo 1626.7

1538.5 Elo (surface) 1299.0

1 Wins 5

0 Wins (surface) 1

1 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.779 Dominance ratio 0.892

176 Rank 219

22.4 Age 27.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luka Mikrut

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luka Mikrut Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

1st Serve In %

59.6%

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.1%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.4%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.2%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

39.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.3%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luka Mikrut Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Break Points Saved %

55.2%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

28.9%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

61.1%

Break Points Converted %

38.3%

51.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luka Mikrut 0 – 0 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-19

SF

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #233

Luka Mikrut #239

6-3 6-4

2 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

34 First Serve Won 21

10 Second Serve Won 17

3 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Luka Mikrut #176

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #219

6-3 6-4

9 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 7

53 Service Points 69

37 First Serve In 41

31 First Serve Won 29

11 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 7

1 Break Points Faced 9

22 Winners 13

7 Unforced Errors 16

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Luka Mikrut vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — Prediction