ATP tennis predict — Luka Mikrut vs Kimmer Coppejans

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Luka Mikrut

Croatia

72.14%

Kimmer Coppejans

Belgium

27.86%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.68

Market probability

65.05% / 34.95%

Why This Prediction?

Luka Mikrut is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1864 vs 1713), a higher Elo rating (1784 vs 1714) and a stronger serve (64.8% vs 53.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1783.6 Elo 1713.9

1864.0 Elo (surface) 1713.1

61 Wins (Challenger) 325

54 Wins (surface) 248

11 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.032 Dominance ratio 0.709

214 Rank 227

22.4 Age 32.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luka Mikrut

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Kimmer Coppejans

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luka Mikrut Kimmer Coppejans

1st Serve In %

59.6%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.1%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.4%

59.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.2%

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.3%

40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luka Mikrut Kimmer Coppejans

Break Points Saved %

55.2%

52.6%

Break Points Converted %

28.9%

37.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

38.3%

48.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luka Mikrut 1 – 0 Kimmer Coppejans

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-23

R16

Luka Mikrut #214

Kimmer Coppejans #227

6-1 6-1

2 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

23 First Serve Won 10

7 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Clay Milan CH · 2025-06-23

R32

Luka Mikrut #371

Kimmer Coppejans #241

6-4 6-4

4 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 2

70 Service Points 62

43 First Serve In 32

30 First Serve Won 19

12 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Luka Mikrut vs Kimmer Coppejans — Prediction