ATP tennis predict — Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Luis Guto Miguel

Brazil

42.33%

Facundo Mena

Argentina

57.67%

Average Odds

2.58 / 1.44

Market probability

35.82% / 64.18%

Why This Prediction?

Facundo Mena is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1736 vs 1574), a higher Elo rating (1707 vs 1606) and more wins on clay courts (182 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1606.2 Elo 1706.9

1574.3 Elo (surface) 1735.6

8 Wins (Challenger) 207

5 Wins (surface) 182

8 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.031 Dominance ratio 1.083

- Rank 190

17.6 Age 34.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luis Guto Miguel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luis Guto Miguel Facundo Mena

1st Serve In %

66.9%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.6%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.5%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.7%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.4%

68.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.0%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luis Guto Miguel Facundo Mena

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

60.0%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.6%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

34.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luis Guto Miguel and Facundo Mena have never played each other.

Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Luis Guto Miguel — Last 10

Facundo Mena — Last 10