ATP tennis predict — Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Svyatoslav Gulin

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes

Mexico

26.37%

Svyatoslav Gulin

Russia

73.63%

Average Odds

3.24 / 1.29

Market probability

28.48% / 71.52%

Why This Prediction?

Svyatoslav Gulin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1627 vs 1481), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1637 vs 1559) and more career match wins (34 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1481.1 Elo 1626.7

1558.7 Elo (surface) 1636.6

2 Wins (Challenger) 34

2 Wins (surface) 28

2 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.828 Dominance ratio 0.880

762 Rank 567

22.1 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Svyatoslav Gulin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Svyatoslav Gulin

1st Serve In %

61.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

67.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.29

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.3%

54.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.4%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

43.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Svyatoslav Gulin

Break Points Saved %

71.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

23.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.2%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Svyatoslav Gulin have never played each other.

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Svyatoslav Gulin — Prediction