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Luis Britto vs Joshua Sheehy — Prediction

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Luis Britto

Brazil

28.62%

Joshua Sheehy

USA

71.38%

Average Odds

8.69  /  1.04

Market probability

10.69%  /  89.31%

Why This Prediction?

Joshua Sheehy is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1393 vs 1257), more career match wins (28 vs 4) and better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 2).

Player Comparison

1257.3 Elo 1392.8
1409.3 Elo (surface) 1354.5
4 Wins (Challenger) 28
0 Wins (surface) 21
2 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.951 Dominance ratio 0.772
1602 Rank 661
33.2 Age 29.6
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Luis Britto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Joshua Sheehy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luis Britto Joshua Sheehy

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

67.5%
60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.0%
67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%
46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%
24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.0%
45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Luis Britto Joshua Sheehy

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

54.3%
57.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%
24.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Luis Britto 00 Joshua Sheehy

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-23

qualification - 1. round

Joshua Sheehy #661

Luis Britto #1602

6-2
1 Aces 0
2 Double Faults 2
32 Service Points 24
19 First Serve In 15
9 First Serve Won 11
7 Second Serve Won 7
4 Break Points Saved 2
6 Break Points Faced 2
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.0 Average Odds 8.7

Luis Britto — Last 10

L L L W L L L L L L

Joshua Sheehy — Last 10

L L W L L L L W L W