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Lui Maxted vs Patrick Brady — Prediction

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Lui Maxted

Great Britain

41.31%

Patrick Brady

Great Britain

58.69%

Average Odds

1.83  /  1.88

Market probability

50.67%  /  49.33%

Why This Prediction?

Patrick Brady is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1572 vs 1510), more career match wins (31 vs 8) and more wins on hard courts (24 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1510.3 Elo 1572.2
1524.4 Elo (surface) 1552.4
8 Wins (Challenger) 31
5 Wins (surface) 24
8 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.101 Dominance ratio 0.909
403 Rank 812
22.7 Age 21.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lui Maxted

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Patrick Brady

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lui Maxted Patrick Brady

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

69.9%
64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%
65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.5%
50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%
31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.4%
43.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.31
0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lui Maxted Patrick Brady

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

61.4%
38.5%

Break Points Converted %

54.1%
48.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lui Maxted 00 Patrick Brady

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-19
6-4 4-6 7-5
4 Aces 4
1 Double Faults 3
98 Service Points 103
67 First Serve In 70
48 First Serve Won 43
13 Second Serve Won 15
4 Break Points Saved 3
8 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Lui Maxted — Last 10

L L W L W W W L W L

Patrick Brady — Last 10

L W L W W W L W W W