ATP tennis predict — Lui Maxted vs Gabi Adrian Boitan

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · QF 12:00

Predicted probability

Lui Maxted

Great Britain

54.28%

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Romania

45.72%

Average Odds

1.57 / 2.28

Market probability

59.22% / 40.78%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1552.2 Elo 1505.1

1566.9 Elo (surface) 1470.9

9 Wins (Challenger) 48

6 Wins (surface) 10

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.141 Dominance ratio 1.045

403 Rank 441

22.7 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lui Maxted

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lui Maxted Gabi Adrian Boitan

1st Serve In %

—

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

23.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.9%

67.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

73.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.5%

53.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.4%

56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lui Maxted Gabi Adrian Boitan

Break Points Saved %

—

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.4%

75.0%

Break Points Converted %

54.1%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lui Maxted 0 – 0 Gabi Adrian Boitan

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - 1. round

Gabi Adrian Boitan #500

Lui Maxted #360

6-1 6-1

5 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 5

37 Service Points 46

22 First Serve In 26

18 First Serve Won 12

11 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 4

0 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-20

QF

Lui Maxted #403

Gabi Adrian Boitan #441

7-5 6-4

5 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 5

64 Service Points 74

50 First Serve In 47

39 First Serve Won 38

7 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 2

1 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Lui Maxted vs Gabi Adrian Boitan — Prediction