ATP tennis predict — Lui Maxted vs Anton Shepp

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Lui Maxted

Great Britain

78.95%

Anton Shepp

New Zealand

21.05%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.64

Market probability

64.71% / 35.29%

Why This Prediction?

Lui Maxted is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1565 vs 1433), a higher Elo rating (1560 vs 1425) and more career match wins (10 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1559.6 Elo 1424.9

1565.4 Elo (surface) 1432.8

10 Wins (Challenger) 2

7 Wins (surface) 2

7 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.103 Dominance ratio 0.931

403 Rank 498

22.7 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lui Maxted

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Anton Shepp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lui Maxted Anton Shepp

1st Serve In %

—

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

15.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

1.10

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.9%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.5%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.4%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lui Maxted Anton Shepp

Break Points Saved %

—

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

100.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.4%

54.2%

Break Points Converted %

54.1%

38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lui Maxted 0 – 0 Anton Shepp

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-24

1. round

Lui Maxted #362

Anton Shepp #493

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 2

65 Service Points 58

42 First Serve In 33

29 First Serve Won 23

16 Second Serve Won 11

5 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Lui Maxted vs Anton Shepp — Prediction