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Lucio Ratti vs Tai Sach — Prediction

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · 1. round 11:45

Predicted probability

Lucio Ratti

Argentina

57.11%

Tai Sach

Australia

42.89%

Average Odds

1.55  /  2.33

Market probability

60.05%  /  39.95%

Why This Prediction?

Lucio Ratti is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1528 vs 1452), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1486 vs 1453) and a stronger return game (38.6% vs 35.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1527.7 Elo 1452.2
1485.5 Elo (surface) 1452.9
18 Wins (Challenger) 10
2 Wins (surface) 10
7 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.903 Dominance ratio 0.856
380 Rank 512
22.5 Age 23.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lucio Ratti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Tai Sach

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-10.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Tai Sach

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

59.8%
57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%
73.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.1%
46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%
27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%
52.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.21
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Tai Sach

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

62.9%
63.6%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%
33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lucio Ratti 00 Tai Sach

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-10

1. round

Lucio Ratti #380

Tai Sach #512

6-3 6-3
- Aces -
- Double Faults -
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
- First Serve Won -
- Second Serve Won -
- Break Points Saved -
- Break Points Faced -
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Lucio Ratti — Last 10

L L L W L W L L W W

Tai Sach — Last 10

L L W L L L L W L L