ATP tennis predict — Lucio Ratti vs Max Basing

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Lucio Ratti

Argentina

41.75%

Max Basing

Great Britain

58.25%

Average Odds

3.80 / 1.24

Market probability

24.60% / 75.40%

Why This Prediction?

Max Basing is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (15 vs 2), a higher Elo rating (1592 vs 1552) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1579 vs 1533).

Player Comparison

1552.0 Elo 1591.9

1532.7 Elo (surface) 1579.1

18 Wins (Challenger) 18

2 Wins (surface) 15

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.949 Dominance ratio 0.947

364 Rank 257

22.5 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lucio Ratti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Max Basing

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Max Basing

1st Serve In %

—

64.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

64.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

54.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

65.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.1%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Max Basing

Break Points Saved %

—

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.9%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lucio Ratti 0 – 0 Max Basing

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-03

1. round

Max Basing #250

Lucio Ratti #380

7-6 6-1

4 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 4

76 Service Points 71

37 First Serve In 33

25 First Serve Won 27

8 Second Serve Won 4

4 Break Points Saved 5

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Lucio Ratti vs Max Basing — Prediction