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Lucio Ratti vs Lukas Pokorny — Prediction

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Lucio Ratti

Argentina

65.43%

Lukas Pokorny

Slovakia

34.57%

Average Odds

1.32  /  3.14

Market probability

70.40%  /  29.60%

Why This Prediction?

Lucio Ratti is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1533 vs 1404), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1543 vs 1438) and better recent form (8 wins in his last 15 matches vs 7).

Player Comparison

1532.6 Elo 1404.3
1543.2 Elo (surface) 1438.3
20 Wins (Challenger) 37
17 Wins (surface) 12
8 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.017 Dominance ratio 1.110
384 Rank 614
22.6 Age 24.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lucio Ratti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Lukas Pokorny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Lukas Pokorny

1st Serve In %

56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

33.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%
60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%
70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.1%
52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%
32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%
49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.21
0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Lukas Pokorny

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

100.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.9%
60.3%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%
39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lucio Ratti 00 Lukas Pokorny

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Lukas Pokorny #614

Lucio Ratti #384

6-1 5-7 6-4
1 Aces 5
4 Double Faults 4
88 Service Points 78
54 First Serve In 41
32 First Serve Won 32
17 Second Serve Won 19
6 Break Points Saved 5
13 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
3.1 Average Odds 1.3

Lucio Ratti — Last 10

L L L W L W L L W W

Lukas Pokorny — Last 10

L W W L W L W L W L