ATP tennis predict — Lucio Ratti vs Khumoun Sultanov

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · R16 08:05

Predicted probability

Lucio Ratti

Argentina

41.93%

Khumoun Sultanov

Uzbekistan

58.07%

Average Odds

2.61 / 1.46

Market probability

35.87% / 64.13%

Why This Prediction?

Khumoun Sultanov is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (52 vs 3), more career match wins (66 vs 19) and a lighter recent match load (17 vs 18 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1549.1 Elo 1515.2

1532.6 Elo (surface) 1513.0

19 Wins (Challenger) 66

3 Wins (surface) 52

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.903 Dominance ratio 0.960

380 Rank 508

22.5 Age 27.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Lucio Ratti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Khumoun Sultanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Khumoun Sultanov

1st Serve In %

—

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.1%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Lucio Ratti Khumoun Sultanov

Break Points Saved %

—

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.9%

52.8%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Lucio Ratti 0 – 0 Khumoun Sultanov

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-12

R16

Khumoun Sultanov #508

Lucio Ratti #380

6-4 7-5

3 Aces 6

5 Double Faults 7

70 Service Points 76

44 First Serve In 44

28 First Serve Won 35

13 Second Serve Won 14

3 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Lucio Ratti vs Khumoun Sultanov — Prediction